The seminar will contain a very brief outline of the different kinds of mathematical models of COVID 19 transmission that are informing control policies in the USA. The emphasis will be on the qualitative differences between the models (no math required) and the goal is to demistify this increasingly common methodology for evaluating putative infectious disease control strategies.
- Describe the formats of the kinds of mathematical models of infectious disease transmission that have been used to inform disease control policy
- Explain the manner in which modelers hope their models will be used to guide policy
- In the specific case of COVID 19, discuss which models have been cited by national policy makers as justification for specific disease control policies
Smith, MA, MA, DPhil, PGCE, Gary, "COVID-19: Transmission Models that Inform Policy" (2020). COVID-19: Spread the Science, not the Virus Seminar Series. Paper 3.